Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | LAM -190 SFA +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -9.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -7.9 (-16.9) | 130.2 (+4.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -5.4 (-14.4) | 131.1 (+3.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -5.5 (-14.5) | 128.4 (+6.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -6.0 (-15.0) | 127.7 (+7.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SFA 84 – 74 LAM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SFA 88 – 81 LAM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAM 67 – 62 SFA |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SFA 70 – 56 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2022 | SFA 86 – 78 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#164) | -5.2 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#183) | -1.52 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#174) | -1.84 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#168) | 0.439 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 23.6% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 25.8% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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