Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | SFA -145 LAM +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -0.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -1.1 (-3.9) | 128.1 (+0.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -0.6 (-4.4) | 130.0 (-1.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -0.7 (-4.3) | 128.5 (+0.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -0.3 (-4.7) | 126.8 (+2.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SFA 84 – 74 LAM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SFA 88 – 81 LAM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SFA 72 – 63 LAM |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SFA 70 – 56 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2022 | SFA 86 – 78 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#253) | -2.3 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#297) | -0.50 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#283) | -0.59 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#285) | 0.478 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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