Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +14 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | SFA -13.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -13.6 (-0.4) | 141.0 (-15.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -12.9 (-1.1) | 139.0 (-13.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -13.5 (-0.5) | 141.6 (-15.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -13.7 (-0.3) | 143.6 (-17.6) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SFA 84 – 74 LAM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SFA 88 – 81 LAM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAM 67 – 62 SFA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SFA 72 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2022 | SFA 86 – 78 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-27 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 14-4 |
| Home | 2-11 | 13-3 |
| Away | 0-18 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L27 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#340) | 3.5 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.63 (#358) | 0.71 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.87 (#358) | 0.73 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.339 (#358) | 0.547 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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