Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -290 NMSU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +8 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -8.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -6.4 (+1.6) | 135.0 (-7.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -7.3 (+0.7) | 135.8 (-7.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -6.3 (+1.7) | 133.9 (-5.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -6.4 (+1.6) | 134.5 (-6.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | LIB 77 – 75 NMSU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | LIB 73 – 71 NMSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIB 64 – 54 NMSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | LIB 83 – 58 NMSU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | NMSU 79 – 73 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-2 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#82) | 2.2 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#83) | 0.46 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#73) | 0.89 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#100) | 0.526 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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