Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -130 MTSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +14 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -2.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -2.6 (+11.4) | 138.5 (+1.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -2.4 (+11.6) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -2.4 (+11.6) | 137.7 (+2.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -2.8 (+11.2) | 137.5 (+2.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | JXST 75 – 58 MTSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | JXST 70 – 68 MTSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MTSU 81 – 64 JXST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | JXST 76 – 68 MTSU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MTSU 75 – 67 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#128) | 3.3 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#97) | 1.00 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#100) | 0.96 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#67) | 0.569 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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