Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SMU -1200 SYR +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -13.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -13.4 (-11.4) | 157.8 (-5.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -12.0 (-10.0) | 155.2 (-3.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -12.1 (-10.1) | 156.4 (-4.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -12.4 (-10.4) | 157.8 (-5.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SMU 86 – 69 SYR |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SYR 79 – 78 SMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SMU 73 – 53 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#43) | 2.3 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#54) | 0.22 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#54) | 0.47 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#54) | 0.501 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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