Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SMU -425 SYR +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +20 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -8.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (-32.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -7.5 (+12.5) | 151.9 (-25.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -6.8 (+13.2) | 149.9 (-23.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -7.3 (+12.7) | 151.1 (-25.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -6.6 (+13.4) | 151.1 (-25.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SMU 86 – 69 SYR |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SYR 79 – 78 SMU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | SMU 77 – 75 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#46) | 3.3 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#56) | 0.44 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#61) | 0.70 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#62) | 0.510 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.