UC Santa Barbara
Gauchos
71
–
66
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Big West
Cal State Bakersfield
Roadrunners
Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UCSB -250 CSUB +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -5.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -4.0 (+1.0) | 143.0 (-6.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -3.7 (+1.3) | 140.5 (-3.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -5.0 (-0.0) | 143.2 (-6.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -4.6 (+0.4) | 144.4 (-7.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UCSB 75 – 69 CSUB |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSB 109 – 84 CSUB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCSB 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UCSB 70 – 59 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#140) | -4.4 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#144) | -0.55 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#157) | -0.70 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#237) | 0.455 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 35.0% |
Game Analysis
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