Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LUC -1600 CHST +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +9 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -6.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -9.0 (-18.0) | 135.9 (+23.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -6.0 (-15.0) | 139.8 (+19.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -6.2 (-15.2) | 140.9 (+18.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -6.7 (-15.7) | 136.6 (+22.4) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | LUC 79 – 72 CHST |
| Nov 29, 2023 | LUC 62 – 53 CHST |
| Nov 17, 2021 | LUC 92 – 56 CHST |
| Dec 9, 2020 | LUC 88 – 51 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-10 | 5-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#325) | -13.6 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#335) | -3.23 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#330) | -4.11 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.359 (#352) | 0.411 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 60.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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