Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–4 on winners spread MAE 8.7 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Clemson +5.3 154.1 69% 65–85 ✓
Southern @ Alabama State -2.1 144.3 42% 81–82 ✗
Florida A&M @ Prairie View A&M +1.4 154.7 55% 78–67 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State +21.3 128.7 97% 39–86 ✓
East Texas A&M @ McNeese +22.1 135.3 98% 51–67 ✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +7.4 137.6 75% 72–60 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +1.2 138.1 54% 75–85 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word +10.6 152.4 83% 65–75 ✓
Howard @ Maryland Eastern Shore -6.1 156.6 29% 77–57 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State +19.2 162.5 96% 78–94 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Texas Southern +0.9 139.5 53% 80–77 ✗
Grambling @ Alabama A&M -3.2 145.0 39% 72–61 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar +1.4 143.4 55% 56–67 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -1.0 136.7 46% 69–60 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell +14.3 146.6 90% 62–66 ✓
Baylor @ Houston +11.4 136.3 85% 65–76 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +13.1 156.7 88% 75–87 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +16.6 149.9 93% 69–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.