You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
18–8 on winners spread MAE 7.4 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Florida State -3.1 158.1 39% 96–85 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M +21.7 143.9 98% 56–64 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State +2.1 143.5 58% 70–68 ✗
Bellarmine @ Stetson +1.2 154.8 54% 67–69 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ McNeese +15.5 145.4 92% 65–100 ✓
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana +6.5 135.4 72% 72–69 ✗
Northeastern @ Monmouth -0.4 145.6 48% 73–78 ✗
Queens University @ West Georgia -6.3 150.4 28% 72–57 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +8.5 161.8 78% 82–86 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville +3.3 149.2 62% 55–59 ✓
Lipscomb @ Austin Peay -9.7 137.4 19% 95–78 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +2.9 149.6 60% 69–71 ✓
East Texas A&M @ LSU New Orleans +1.3 147.1 55% 73–71 ✗
Lamar @ Incarnate Word -1.2 134.7 46% 61–73 ✗
North Alabama @ Central Arkansas -12.4 148.7 13% 93–70 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State +4.6 154.7 66% 84–86 ✓
Michigan @ Nebraska -2.4 151.4 42% 49–46 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern +17.4 157.1 94% 56–81 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +15.6 161.2 92% 60–69 ✓
South Carolina State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -13.7 141.5 11% 81–68 ✓
Howard @ Coppin State -8.3 148.3 22% 61–72 ✗
Florida A&M @ Alabama A&M -4.6 150.5 34% 66–77 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Houston Christian +0.7 128.8 52% 56–72 ✓
Houston @ Texas Tech -2.5 134.8 41% 69–61 ✓
Kansas @ Colorado -8.8 139.7 21% 71–64 ✓
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan +2.8 151.9 60% 65–60 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.