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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 4.1
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona
@
Duke
|
+8.7 | 152.8 | 79% | 93–100 | ✓ |
Arkansas
@
Texas Tech
|
+6.8 | 149.0 | 73% | 83–85 | ✓ |
Ole Miss
@
Michigan State
|
+3.5 | 144.2 | 62% | 70–73 | ✓ |
Kentucky
@
Tennessee
|
+3.7 | 146.4 | 63% | 65–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.