What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–19 on winners spread MAE 7.0 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
New Haven @ Fairleigh Dickinson +3.1 124.1 61% 84–77 ✗
Vermont @ NJIT -4.1 144.4 35% 70–64 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Elon +9.0 160.4 79% 102–82 ✗
Furman @ Wofford +0.2 150.1 51% 76–67 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Lamar +3.5 151.2 63% 77–71 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Bellarmine +2.6 163.0 59% 95–92 ✗
Austin Peay @ Jacksonville -7.6 139.4 25% 65–61 ✓
Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -12.9 149.4 12% 71–72 ✗
Illinois @ UCLA -8.6 149.5 22% 94–95 ✗
Illinois State @ Bradley -1.3 146.4 45% 60–74 ✗
Indiana State @ Belmont +15.6 161.7 92% 70–87 ✓
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +8.3 144.8 78% 73–83 ✓
New Mexico @ Fresno State -7.1 148.8 26% 80–78 ✓
Wyoming @ Grand Canyon +5.8 143.4 70% 70–65 ✗
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts -0.6 158.4 48% 62–67 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese +13.2 138.6 89% 54–70 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado +13.0 151.0 88% 77–78 ✓
Providence @ DePaul -0.5 164.1 48% 71–68 ✓
Texas A&M @ Oklahoma -0.9 171.1 47% 75–71 ✓
Kentucky @ Auburn +0.9 160.1 53% 74–75 ✓
Pacific @ Gonzaga +21.8 144.8 98% 62–71 ✓
UCF @ Utah -3.0 162.0 39% 73–71 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State -2.4 161.1 41% 78–76 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State +8.6 140.5 78% 63–67 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield -7.1 163.6 26% 88–80 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +1.5 157.8 56% 72–92 ✓
Utah State @ Nevada -6.0 152.8 29% 77–80 ✗
Santa Clara @ San Francisco -8.2 156.1 23% 94–73 ✓
Portland @ Seattle U +9.9 139.6 82% 59–71 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i +5.5 148.0 69% 75–78 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +3.6 137.2 63% 71–69 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State -2.6 162.1 41% 86–80 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Washington State -9.2 148.1 20% 83–67 ✓
Iowa State @ BYU -2.1 160.0 42% 69–79 ✗
American University @ Lafayette -3.0 143.0 39% 75–61 ✓
UAB @ Memphis +4.6 149.1 66% 78–67 ✗
Holy Cross @ Bucknell +1.5 138.5 56% 72–63 ✗
Boston University @ Lehigh -0.1 153.5 50% 67–70 ✗
Niagara @ Rider -0.1 129.0 50% 62–67 ✗
Ohio State @ Michigan State +9.0 148.2 79% 60–66 ✓
Iona @ Merrimack +6.8 140.2 73% 86–88 ✓
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy +1.2 151.9 54% 70–74 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Marist +11.2 143.3 84% 63–65 ✓
Rice @ Tulane +6.7 148.5 73% 75–81 ✓
Fairfield @ Quinnipiac +6.9 151.4 73% 85–79 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State +2.6 153.3 59% 58–64 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +4.8 148.8 67% 81–68 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State -1.5 163.9 44% 92–86 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Siena +5.9 136.9 70% 63–72 ✓
Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's +8.7 133.3 78% 47–68 ✓
Towson @ Drexel +0.0 123.3 50% 62–68 ✓
Milwaukee @ Oakland +9.3 164.7 80% 70–81 ✓
Iowa @ Wisconsin +0.0 151.3 50% 71–84 ✓
UTSA @ Tulsa +26.9 156.8 99% 74–100 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas +0.2 140.3 51% 72–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.