Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -250 UAB +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -4.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -3.9 (-14.9) | 146.6 (-1.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -5.4 (-16.4) | 147.0 (-2.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -4.5 (-15.5) | 144.4 (+0.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -4.2 (-15.2) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MEM 90 – 80 UAB |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MEM 84 – 72 UAB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MEM 88 – 81 UAB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | MEM 100 – 77 UAB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MEM 106 – 87 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#104) | 3.3 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#128) | 0.51 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#110) | 0.70 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#143) | 0.510 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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