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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–2 on winners
spread MAE 12.3
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Campbell
@
The Citadel
|
-0.5 | 130.1 | 34% | 86–58 | ✓ |
North Carolina A&T
@
Virginia Tech
|
+10.0 | 144.4 | 83% | 67–95 | ✓ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Virginia
|
+10.3 | 126.8 | 83% | 41–59 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
Iowa
|
+2.0 | 155.9 | 44% | 89–80 | ✗ |
UT Arlington
@
Arkansas State
|
+8.8 | 151.5 | 82% | 79–83 | ✓ |
Chattanooga
@
Evansville
|
+2.3 | 143.7 | 57% | 75–67 | ✗ |
New Mexico State
@
Texas
|
+17.1 | 142.0 | 88% | 67–91 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.