Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–16 on winners spread MAE 9.2 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gardner-Webb @ High Point +9.8 149.4 81% 55–96 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Utah +7.4 148.5 74% 62–83 ✓
Missouri State @ Southern Illinois -0.6 141.4 45% 78–88 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State +2.2 139.7 53% 85–84 ✗
Nevada @ Fresno State -11.5 145.5 17% 77–66 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -12.8 143.6 11% 74–65 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Lamar +7.9 130.2 73% 72–63 ✗
Villanova @ St. John's +7.4 147.6 78% 68–80 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +12.5 150.6 86% 67–90 ✓
Northeastern @ Stony Brook -6.2 135.5 27% 70–66 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara +3.3 152.7 68% 54–77 ✓
Alabama @ Texas A&M -1.2 157.7 44% 94–88 ✓
Indiana @ Iowa +5.5 160.0 70% 60–85 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana State +4.8 144.3 71% 53–58 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho State +5.0 141.9 73% 77–69 ✗
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +4.9 139.8 65% 68–71 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -2.4 149.1 42% 75–72 ✓
South Dakota @ St. Thomas +12.8 169.2 84% 104–119 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts -2.1 155.8 46% 79–83 ✗
Liberty @ Louisiana Tech -2.8 134.7 43% 74–79 ✗
Kentucky @ Mississippi State +4.1 159.6 65% 95–90 ✗
UT Arlington @ Southern Utah +1.1 151.8 59% 68–73 ✓
Washington State @ Gonzaga +15.7 159.9 86% 75–88 ✓
Boise State @ Utah State +7.2 145.5 77% 79–81 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech +4.9 134.3 68% 54–58 ✓
New Mexico State @ UTEP +5.3 141.9 73% 85–57 ✗
Baylor @ Arizona State -1.6 140.6 39% 72–66 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield -2.7 148.6 37% 90–94 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego +4.0 140.5 74% 60–52 ✗
Saint Mary's @ San Diego -15.3 135.1 13% 103–56 ✓
Oregon State @ Pacific -12.0 141.5 19% 91–55 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Seattle U +7.1 137.0 75% 64–66 ✓
UCF @ Arizona +16.9 159.2 89% 80–88 ✓
Michigan State @ Northwestern -1.3 140.2 40% 78–68 ✓
Nebraska @ Purdue +5.9 139.3 72% 68–104 ✓
VMI @ Chattanooga +9.4 149.3 79% 66–91 ✓
Rider @ Niagara +5.1 134.6 66% 68–65 ✗
Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson +3.8 148.9 66% 75–71 ✗
Long Island University @ Central Connecticut +7.7 128.7 73% 54–52 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Iona -1.6 139.6 41% 63–62 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Canisius -5.2 129.8 24% 62–49 ✓
Washington @ Michigan +16.5 151.9 88% 75–91 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Le Moyne +1.7 138.1 57% 63–79 ✓
Stonehill @ Chicago State -4.9 135.9 27% 68–52 ✓
Wright State @ Robert Morris +0.1 147.2 58% 72–75 ✓
Fairfield @ Marist +8.7 135.6 80% 51–61 ✓
Manhattan @ Merrimack +5.1 140.9 74% 62–69 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's +5.6 147.0 75% 71–73 ✓
West Virginia @ Colorado -1.9 137.5 46% 78–70 ✓
Charlotte @ Tulsa +0.6 146.1 60% 63–69 ✓
Mercer @ Western Carolina -7.9 152.0 26% 82–85 ✗
Oregon @ Penn State +1.5 153.7 52% 82–81 ✗
UAB @ Florida Atlantic +6.1 161.1 64% 81–76 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Little Rock +5.1 134.9 69% 58–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.