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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–7 on winners spread MAE 8.3 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston College @ Notre Dame +12.6 144.6 86% 60–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -13.6 135.3 11% 82–53 ✓
American University @ Loyola Maryland +1.9 140.4 57% 73–54 ✗
Alabama State @ Alcorn State -4.0 148.5 36% 65–67 ✗
Wofford @ Furman +6.5 139.9 77% 81–62 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Southern +2.7 135.9 69% 53–69 ✓
East Texas A&M @ UT Rio Grande Valley +11.7 145.3 86% 55–57 ✓
Nicholls @ Incarnate Word +1.4 141.7 53% 88–82 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Stephen F. Austin +0.7 129.3 47% 66–59 ✗
Norfolk State @ Morgan State -12.4 150.3 20% 74–78 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ South Carolina State +12.5 143.1 88% 64–78 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +1.9 150.9 59% 72–75 ✓
Coppin State @ Howard +10.4 146.2 87% 75–90 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Jackson State +9.3 143.0 84% 93–103 ✓
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +7.4 143.1 80% 64–73 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Lamar +13.1 142.2 86% 68–62 ✗
McNeese @ Houston Christian -14.0 133.5 13% 75–59 ✓
Campbell @ Elon +8.9 134.2 80% 68–81 ✓
Florida A&M @ Grambling +5.0 135.8 70% 72–79 ✓
Villanova @ Xavier +4.2 148.8 70% 63–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.