All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
36–7 on winners spread MAE 8.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi State @ Auburn +13.0 155.3 84% 66–88 ✓
Ole Miss @ Alabama +8.3 157.2 70% 74–64 ✗
Marquette @ DePaul -10.9 148.2 14% 85–83 ✓
Texas A&M @ Kentucky +4.8 157.5 61% 69–81 ✓
Illinois @ Indiana -7.1 156.9 27% 94–69 ✓
North Texas @ East Carolina -5.3 130.8 27% 69–60 ✓
Louisville @ Syracuse -8.1 149.2 21% 85–61 ✓
Saint Louis @ VCU +11.8 142.4 82% 62–78 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +11.4 134.3 78% 94–83 ✗
Toledo @ Akron +6.2 155.2 79% 78–85 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois -12.9 149.1 15% 84–69 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan +5.4 140.5 75% 63–82 ✓
Buffalo @ Bowling Green +5.5 152.8 77% 61–79 ✓
Ball State @ Ohio +6.6 151.6 78% 71–86 ✓
Charlotte @ Wichita State +8.3 149.4 78% 59–68 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +5.9 156.9 69% 64–71 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +10.2 139.6 83% 58–63 ✓
UTSA @ Rice +6.1 144.3 73% 90–84 ✗
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +12.1 133.7 84% 56–73 ✓
Providence @ Creighton +6.4 141.1 76% 64–84 ✓
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +2.6 134.9 63% 73–71 ✗
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +5.4 153.9 76% 68–70 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas State -10.2 146.3 20% 61–57 ✓
Oklahoma State @ BYU +13.3 143.7 85% 69–85 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia Tech -4.9 142.3 30% 70–59 ✓
Wyoming @ Boise State +11.9 133.5 86% 55–96 ✓
Missouri @ Florida +12.2 151.5 79% 83–82 ✗
Arkansas @ LSU +1.3 147.5 63% 74–78 ✓
Miami @ Duke +25.7 145.2 91% 54–89 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -8.1 153.0 24% 70–71 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +16.9 129.6 89% 62–68 ✓
Iowa @ USC +2.1 158.4 57% 89–99 ✓
Baylor @ Arizona +4.9 151.5 73% 70–81 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +7.9 133.7 75% 60–75 ✓
UCF @ Arizona State +5.7 149.9 72% 95–89 ✗
Lafayette @ Army +0.3 143.2 53% 68–70 ✓
Lehigh @ Boston University +1.8 131.5 58% 58–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt +10.9 143.1 82% 63–66 ✓
Western Carolina @ VMI +4.9 142.6 71% 50–66 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville +12.3 158.6 87% 92–93 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +8.9 156.3 80% 97–102 ✓
Stanford @ Wake Forest +3.5 140.5 67% 67–80 ✓
Davidson @ La Salle +0.4 148.3 54% 76–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.