Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -360 CAM +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -10.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -8.9 (+4.1) | 134.2 (+14.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -7.9 (+5.1) | 136.6 (+12.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -8.7 (+4.3) | 134.6 (+14.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -8.9 (+4.1) | 134.7 (+14.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | ELON 83 – 82 CAM |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CAM 76 – 58 ELON |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CAM 69 – 67 ELON |
| Jan 25, 2024 | CAM 78 – 68 ELON |
| Dec 16, 2020 | ELON 66 – 56 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#138) | -5.5 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#153) | -1.48 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#147) | -1.40 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#151) | 0.427 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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