The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–13 on winners spread MAE 10.8 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ UAlbany +4.5 143.9 69% 65–61 ✗
Stony Brook @ UNC Wilmington +15.5 141.5 89% 70–80 ✓
Northeastern @ Elon +4.3 140.1 65% 60–71 ✓
Pacific @ Santa Clara +17.2 147.7 89% 49–83 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan +6.2 144.2 76% 71–90 ✓
UConn @ Marquette +7.0 142.7 75% 77–69 ✗
Notre Dame @ Miami -7.4 153.6 25% 57–63 ✗
Wyoming @ San Diego State +12.6 131.2 88% 61–63 ✓
Portland State @ Montana State +3.8 142.4 67% 73–74 ✓
South Alabama @ Louisiana -7.9 132.9 26% 62–58 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Northridge +9.2 150.2 84% 62–88 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +8.1 155.2 80% 62–80 ✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State +0.8 132.0 56% 58–75 ✓
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +5.4 147.4 74% 57–75 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts -2.0 138.2 40% 67–73 ✗
Denver @ Omaha +10.5 147.7 86% 69–78 ✓
Texas A&M @ South Carolina -5.1 132.1 30% 76–72 ✓
Arkansas @ Kentucky +10.5 157.4 81% 89–79 ✗
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama +12.1 149.8 85% 65–94 ✓
New Mexico @ Utah State +5.0 156.7 71% 82–63 ✗
Syracuse @ California +4.7 152.7 72% 75–66 ✗
UNLV @ Nevada +5.4 135.4 71% 65–71 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +11.3 134.7 86% 54–85 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine +10.0 147.5 83% 84–64 ✗
Washington State @ San Francisco +6.6 145.3 76% 51–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's +1.3 145.1 54% 58–62 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +10.3 139.3 83% 57–82 ✓
Ohio State @ Illinois +5.7 157.7 75% 79–87 ✓
Fairfield @ Iona +3.7 140.4 70% 64–87 ✓
West Virginia @ Cincinnati +1.2 128.6 57% 63–50 ✗
Tulsa @ Tulane +10.1 144.3 85% 56–59 ✓
South Florida @ Florida Atlantic +7.2 153.1 78% 72–94 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +0.5 153.9 56% 64–66 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State +3.1 138.5 68% 69–72 ✓
Manhattan @ Sacred Heart +0.4 156.6 59% 72–74 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Peter's +1.4 126.9 56% 79–64 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Siena -0.7 144.5 45% 75–84 ✗
Memphis @ Rice -9.8 142.5 18% 86–83 ✓
Evansville @ Belmont +10.5 149.8 83% 80–75 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +4.3 155.4 70% 81–79 ✗
Colorado @ TCU +4.9 134.6 73% 57–68 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa +1.1 139.3 56% 69–83 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas +2.9 157.2 62% 62–79 ✓
Merrimack @ Rider -3.8 128.8 33% 66–64 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul +6.0 135.3 73% 57–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.