Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–6 on winners spread MAE 7.0 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Florida +13.7 153.5 86% 75–86 ✓
Purdue @ Iowa -4.2 156.5 27% 90–81 ✓
Kentucky @ Ole Miss +3.0 157.3 58% 84–98 ✓
Wichita State @ Charlotte -1.9 146.0 41% 66–58 ✓
Notre Dame @ Florida State +3.7 143.3 71% 60–67 ✓
Saint Louis @ Massachusetts +0.4 149.0 55% 73–71 ✗
La Salle @ VCU +16.9 140.9 88% 66–96 ✓
Davidson @ Dayton +8.2 143.4 79% 63–69 ✓
Drake @ Murray State -3.9 127.8 20% 55–45 ✓
Minnesota @ Penn State +8.7 144.6 80% 69–61 ✗
Western Michigan @ Ohio +9.2 150.6 83% 69–94 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green +5.9 148.8 72% 77–84 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan -0.5 145.0 49% 76–70 ✓
Buffalo @ Toledo +12.6 160.8 87% 74–87 ✓
Ball State @ Akron +13.3 155.9 88% 73–81 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Houston +22.2 134.6 91% 63–72 ✓
Utah State @ Wyoming -8.8 136.9 18% 71–67 ✓
Georgetown @ Xavier +7.0 140.2 77% 69–74 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +8.4 134.6 78% 41–66 ✓
Oklahoma @ Auburn +16.1 156.1 87% 70–98 ✓
Baylor @ Texas Tech +6.7 143.0 77% 59–73 ✓
Indiana @ Wisconsin +11.8 152.4 85% 64–76 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Clemson +12.7 141.5 86% 89–86 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Loyola Chicago -1.7 133.1 45% 53–77 ✗
Nevada @ Air Force -13.6 133.2 14% 74–60 ✓
USC @ Northwestern +3.7 145.7 68% 75–77 ✓
Michigan State @ UCLA +2.3 142.9 70% 61–63 ✓
Kansas State @ Arizona State +4.2 140.3 65% 71–70 ✗
San José State @ Fresno State -3.3 147.2 40% 94–91 ✓
Arizona @ BYU +0.9 155.6 58% 85–74 ✗
Boise State @ UNLV -3.8 138.7 36% 71–62 ✓
Holy Cross @ Army +2.6 142.4 66% 65–68 ✓
East Tennessee State @ VMI -3.6 137.5 35% 62–55 ✓
Oregon @ Michigan +6.8 149.6 77% 76–80 ✓
Butler @ Seton Hall -5.8 136.1 28% 84–54 ✓
Southern Miss @ App State +9.1 133.0 78% 58–60 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -7.6 149.2 20% 84–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.