And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–13 on winners spread MAE 9.1 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Longwood @ High Point +8.3 153.8 82% 72–83 ✓
Saint Francis @ Stonehill +3.3 135.1 60% 74–79 ✓
Wagner @ Le Moyne +0.3 129.6 58% 68–72 ✓
Chicago State @ Fairleigh Dickinson +8.3 142.8 83% 49–91 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Central Connecticut +11.9 134.4 86% 63–73 ✓
New Hampshire @ Vermont +10.6 132.6 87% 59–79 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Portland State +4.4 145.7 69% 46–58 ✓
Old Dominion @ Georgia State +3.9 147.8 66% 75–97 ✓
James Madison @ Georgia Southern -3.1 144.7 37% 77–72 ✓
App State @ Coastal Carolina -9.0 127.6 20% 64–46 ✓
Charleston @ UNC Wilmington +5.8 150.5 75% 66–86 ✓
Campbell @ Northeastern -0.4 138.4 48% 58–67 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Elon +11.0 144.6 83% 60–59 ✗
Delaware @ Towson +6.9 141.2 81% 70–75 ✓
Drexel @ Hampton +0.2 137.5 60% 58–63 ✓
Hofstra @ William & Mary +1.6 144.3 63% 60–61 ✓
North Florida @ North Alabama +11.3 163.1 84% 70–83 ✓
West Georgia @ Eastern Kentucky +12.5 152.9 87% 73–95 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -6.6 143.1 26% 72–60 ✓
Jacksonville @ Central Arkansas -9.5 140.6 18% 77–62 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Louisiana Tech +5.0 142.0 68% 69–47 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Sam Houston -2.2 144.7 44% 61–66 ✗
Marshall @ South Alabama +4.4 134.8 69% 82–91 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Austin Peay -2.6 143.2 52% 60–73 ✗
Seattle U @ Abilene Christian -2.7 138.0 45% 59–75 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Tarleton State -11.1 139.8 16% 64–60 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota +1.1 154.4 60% 72–79 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State +9.9 152.3 82% 85–98 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota +5.5 153.8 72% 68–64 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Little Rock +5.9 134.4 76% 75–79 ✓
Stetson @ Lipscomb +19.9 148.4 91% 60–93 ✓
Maryland @ Nebraska -1.7 149.5 49% 83–75 ✓
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah +3.5 140.6 64% 74–76 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Western Illinois -1.0 136.8 40% 62–87 ✗
UT Martin @ SIU Edwardsville +6.6 138.4 74% 76–71 ✗
Morehead State @ Lindenwood +0.4 133.7 55% 60–73 ✓
Tennessee State @ Eastern Illinois -3.4 145.3 30% 66–49 ✓
Memphis @ South Florida -9.5 147.9 18% 80–65 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana +4.4 146.9 72% 68–81 ✓
Weber State @ Montana State +7.9 141.1 79% 66–74 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Davis -0.5 138.4 50% 74–75 ✗
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +13.2 152.9 87% 88–94 ✓
Liberty @ New Mexico State -4.0 133.8 40% 64–54 ✓
Florida International @ UTEP +8.6 141.8 78% 63–77 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield -12.6 141.8 15% 73–54 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State -9.9 147.0 17% 77–61 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton -3.8 152.2 33% 98–83 ✓
San Diego @ Pepperdine +8.3 150.7 78% 81–88 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +11.0 137.4 86% 83–58 ✗
Oregon State @ Portland -14.5 145.7 18% 72–84 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Irvine +10.3 141.0 84% 60–62 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +12.9 151.1 86% 77–88 ✓
Long Beach State @ Hawai'i +9.8 138.4 84% 60–62 ✓
Columbia @ Dartmouth +1.4 156.5 59% 56–78 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara +0.5 135.5 45% 84–83 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.