Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -145 JXST +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -1.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -2.2 (+7.2) | 144.7 (-17.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -1.0 (+6.0) | 142.4 (-15.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -2.8 (+7.8) | 144.6 (-17.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -2.3 (+7.3) | 144.2 (-17.2) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SHSU 82 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SHSU 77 – 62 JXST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JXST 70 – 62 SHSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SHSU 81 – 73 JXST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | JXST 79 – 68 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#197) | 2.9 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#247) | 1.12 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#217) | 1.23 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#227) | 0.569 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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