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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–10 on winners spread MAE 7.4 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Florida State -1.3 155.4 47% 96–85 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M +15.9 133.6 88% 56–64 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State +1.3 143.9 55% 70–68 ✗
Bellarmine @ Stetson -0.2 151.9 58% 67–69 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ McNeese +15.7 143.5 89% 65–100 ✓
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana +5.4 133.0 72% 72–69 ✗
Northeastern @ Monmouth +0.2 141.9 58% 73–78 ✓
Queens University @ West Georgia -4.8 151.5 31% 72–57 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +7.3 157.1 79% 82–86 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville +1.7 148.4 59% 55–59 ✓
Lipscomb @ Austin Peay -7.2 143.9 24% 95–78 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +3.5 145.6 70% 69–71 ✓
East Texas A&M @ LSU New Orleans +0.8 141.2 51% 73–71 ✗
Lamar @ Incarnate Word -0.6 132.5 42% 61–73 ✗
North Alabama @ Central Arkansas -11.6 148.3 15% 93–70 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State +3.6 154.4 69% 84–86 ✓
Michigan @ Nebraska +0.2 145.1 51% 49–46 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern +14.1 149.4 89% 56–81 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +12.8 155.1 87% 60–69 ✓
South Carolina State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -12.8 139.7 14% 81–68 ✓
Howard @ Coppin State -6.9 143.0 30% 61–72 ✗
Florida A&M @ Alabama A&M -2.9 145.5 40% 66–77 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Houston Christian +0.4 131.7 47% 56–72 ✓
Houston @ Texas Tech +0.0 136.4 45% 69–61 ✗
Kansas @ Colorado -6.9 142.2 28% 71–64 ✓
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan +3.3 150.2 67% 65–60 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.