And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–8 on winners spread MAE 7.9 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida @ Alabama +1.8 170.4 53% 99–94 ✗
Clemson @ Boston College -13.3 140.3 14% 78–69 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech -0.1 140.8 47% 70–67 ✓
Chicago State @ Long Island University +11.9 133.1 88% 57–68 ✓
Wagner @ Saint Francis +3.5 129.3 55% 55–58 ✓
Stonehill @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.6 141.9 65% 56–71 ✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut +15.0 142.2 89% 67–86 ✓
Oklahoma State @ UCF +4.6 158.1 71% 70–83 ✓
Kansas State @ Cincinnati +6.1 134.4 70% 54–49 ✗
Pittsburgh @ NC State -2.7 144.3 37% 63–71 ✗
Rhode Island @ Saint Joseph's +9.1 149.0 81% 74–91 ✓
Massachusetts @ St. Bonaventure +9.5 139.1 84% 72–73 ✓
La Salle @ George Mason +11.4 134.5 86% 62–69 ✓
George Washington @ Fordham -1.9 145.6 43% 81–58 ✓
Xavier @ Butler -0.2 151.7 43% 91–78 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +6.9 153.8 75% 63–83 ✓
Colorado @ Texas Tech +16.9 140.7 89% 75–91 ✓
Missouri @ Oklahoma -1.7 158.3 45% 84–96 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City +3.9 135.4 62% 56–73 ✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota -8.4 137.8 20% 74–67 ✓
Marquette @ UConn +2.0 143.8 54% 66–72 ✓
Louisiana @ Old Dominion +0.4 137.1 50% 49–67 ✓
Tennessee @ Ole Miss -1.1 139.8 44% 76–78 ✗
California @ Louisville +15.4 151.2 89% 68–85 ✓
Stanford @ Notre Dame +0.5 142.6 55% 54–56 ✓
Davidson @ Loyola Chicago +3.5 142.5 70% 72–82 ✓
Morehead State @ Lindenwood -0.4 133.3 49% 65–73 ✗
Washington @ USC +6.7 152.9 77% 61–92 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +0.9 154.3 53% 85–86 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State +4.5 135.3 71% 54–70 ✓
San Diego @ Pacific +1.7 145.9 55% 81–77 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State -1.1 149.6 45% 71–80 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.