He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–12 on winners spread MAE 7.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ UTSA -9.3 156.1 18% 75–70 ✓
Rutgers @ Purdue +12.9 154.3 87% 71–100 ✓
LSU @ Kentucky +13.8 159.9 87% 64–95 ✓
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +0.5 140.0 54% 73–77 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +4.2 142.1 69% 68–69 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +10.3 143.5 85% 75–99 ✓
Green Bay @ Oakland +10.1 150.5 85% 72–96 ✓
Miami @ Georgia Tech +9.8 152.1 85% 74–89 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia Tech -8.1 150.0 20% 91–59 ✓
Saint Louis @ Dayton +6.7 144.7 79% 67–75 ✓
VCU @ Duquesne -8.2 134.8 16% 71–62 ✓
NJIT @ Binghamton +7.5 140.9 76% 75–72 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +4.2 135.4 73% 71–79 ✓
Creighton @ Seton Hall -11.0 134.3 18% 79–61 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo -8.6 150.7 21% 84–69 ✓
Kent State @ Western Michigan -7.6 145.3 28% 77–76 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ohio +9.4 152.6 81% 83–79 ✗
Central Michigan @ Ball State -0.1 146.0 49% 69–67 ✓
Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois -4.0 145.8 31% 71–58 ✓
Akron @ Toledo -3.5 159.9 36% 96–87 ✓
Texas @ Mississippi State +7.6 153.1 71% 87–82 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +8.3 154.7 80% 85–98 ✓
Baylor @ TCU -2.3 139.2 39% 61–58 ✓
Temple @ Tulsa -1.6 150.4 42% 81–77 ✓
Villanova @ Georgetown -0.4 139.1 49% 73–75 ✗
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +3.3 138.8 67% 69–73 ✓
Auburn @ Texas A&M -5.9 147.3 34% 72–83 ✗
BYU @ Iowa State +7.3 150.1 75% 88–85 ✗
West Virginia @ Utah +0.7 137.8 58% 71–69 ✗
Florida State @ Virginia +2.0 135.8 65% 57–60 ✓
Syracuse @ SMU +13.4 157.8 88% 75–77 ✓
San José State @ Colorado State +15.2 145.4 89% 56–83 ✓
New Mexico @ Nevada -0.6 149.0 45% 71–67 ✓
Boise State @ Air Force -15.4 133.4 12% 80–57 ✓
Indiana @ Oregon +5.8 148.5 77% 64–73 ✓
Nebraska @ Ohio State +6.4 147.4 76% 114–116 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State -1.5 140.2 51% 58–62 ✗
Arkansas @ Vanderbilt +3.8 153.8 65% 90–77 ✗
Arizona State @ Arizona +13.2 155.2 88% 100–113 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -0.8 132.0 53% 67–74 ✗
Southern Miss @ Georgia Southern +2.4 144.8 61% 64–78 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan +1.6 150.6 57% 71–65 ✗
DePaul @ Providence +5.9 146.3 71% 80–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.