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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–8 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+6.3 | 145.2 | 73% | 78–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.6 | 136.3 | 61% | 71–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+14.6 | 154.8 | 86% | 78–76 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.3 | 136.7 | 37% | 79–60 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.9 | 151.1 | 42% | 75–85 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.4 | 144.0 | 70% | 65–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.9 | 150.5 | 74% | 75–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 146.2 | 74% | 82–72 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.6 | 131.3 | 38% | 63–66 | ✗ |
|
|
-1.7 | 138.1 | 40% | 81–94 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.5 | 140.6 | 54% | 92–85 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.2 | 141.3 | 66% | 76–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.2 | 139.4 | 53% | 80–60 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.