I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
10–5 on winners spread MAE 6.8 15 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
BYU @ Wisconsin +0.8 150.9 49% 91–89 ✗
Gonzaga @ Houston +4.1 136.5 72% 76–81 ✓
UCLA @ Tennessee +2.8 131.6 69% 58–67 ✓
Manhattan @ Incarnate Word -0.6 144.1 44% 85–92 ✗
UConn @ Florida +6.7 146.0 78% 75–77 ✓
Elon @ Army -6.7 147.3 29% 78–83 ✗
Oklahoma State @ SMU +11.5 149.0 78% 85–83 ✗
Baylor @ Duke +9.4 137.0 80% 66–89 ✓
Queens University @ Northern Arizona -1.6 148.2 42% 85–78 ✓
Illinois @ Kentucky +1.0 167.8 52% 75–84 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Alabama +5.1 146.3 66% 66–80 ✓
Illinois State @ Presbyterian -6.0 139.3 28% 78–70 ✓
Arkansas State @ North Texas +4.5 130.8 72% 63–65 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ San Francisco +9.2 142.8 77% 77–76 ✗
Colorado State @ Maryland +5.7 140.2 77% 71–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.