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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–1 on winners spread MAE 8.0 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arkansas @ Michigan State +5.4 149.8 68% 66–69 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Wichita State — — — 62–105 —
Queens University @ Villanova — — — 74–94 —
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Tarleton State +0.8 139.5 41% 77–85 ✓
Weber State @ Utah — — — 89–92 —
Army @ St. Thomas — — — 76–83 —
Central Michigan @ Bradley — — — 54–85 —
Bellarmine @ Kansas State — — — 71–98 —
Tennessee State @ Belmont — — — 79–87 —
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Southern Utah — — — 95–72 —
Holy Cross @ BYU — — — 53–98 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Loyola Marymount +13.5 136.9 86% 72–94 ✓
Chattanooga @ UNLV — — — 69–101 —
Houston Christian @ UC San Diego — — — 60–78 —
Cal Poly @ Seattle U — — — 73–71 —
Pacific @ Nevada — — — 77–78 —
Oklahoma @ Gonzaga +15.7 145.9 84% 68–83 ✓
New Hampshire @ Harvard — — — 75–86 —
Western Michigan @ Campbell — — — 82–91 —
North Carolina Central @ App State — — — 54–76 —
Indiana @ Marquette — — — 100–77 —
Coppin State @ James Madison — — — 70–84 —
Pennsylvania @ American University — — — 78–84 —
Morehead State @ Georgia — — — 81–120 —
Lipscomb @ Mercer — — — 77–92 —
Le Moyne @ Bowling Green — — — 60–83 —
Cal State Northridge @ North Dakota — — — 93–85 —
South Dakota State @ Northern Iowa — — — 58–65 —
Vermont @ Brown — — — 89–84 —
Marist @ Dartmouth — — — 75–56 —
Texas A&M @ Oklahoma State — — — 63–87 —
Cornell @ Illinois State +8.2 144.9 79% 65–76 ✓
Denver @ Montana State +5.6 143.3 73% 75–73 ✗
Lehigh @ West Virginia +10.1 127.0 82% 47–69 ✓
Utah Tech @ Arizona State — — — 66–81 —
VMI @ Missouri +9.5 156.0 79% 68–106 ✓
North Texas @ Loyola Chicago -8.1 134.0 32% 64–62 ✓
UC Davis @ Portland +6.7 145.2 77% 63–67 ✓
Idaho State @ San Diego State — — — 57–73 —
Grambling @ Howard -0.6 144.2 48% 73–70 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Liberty +4.8 152.1 63% 68–88 ✓
Manhattan @ USC — — — 83–114 —
Omaha @ Colorado State — — — 74–97 —
Southern Miss @ South Carolina — — — 79–83 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.