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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.1
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois State
@
Long Beach State
|
-0.3 | 134.5 | 40% | 82–80 | ✓ |
Akron
@
Purdue
|
+8.9 | 153.1 | 75% | 79–97 | ✓ |
Troy
@
Cal State Northridge
|
-3.5 | 152.9 | 40% | 85–94 | ✗ |
Miami
@
Florida
|
-3.3 | 155.0 | 42% | 68–82 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Georgia
|
+39.8 | 157.6 | 91% | 57–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.