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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–4 on winners spread MAE 10.9 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Dakota State @ UTEP -3.0 135.3 36% 66–76 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ LSU +27.5 154.1 91% 90–104 ✓
Princeton @ Temple +11.5 139.7 73% 61–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Wright State +7.9 140.2 78% 64–70 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida State +17.4 148.6 88% 63–87 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Saint Joseph's +3.6 140.0 68% 68–62 ✗
Bryant @ High Point +15.2 145.1 86% 47–93 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ West Virginia +38.5 138.7 91% 51–86 ✓
Stonehill @ Syracuse +19.3 135.3 89% 48–77 ✓
Northeastern @ Rhode Island +12.2 138.8 85% 77–85 ✓
Canisius @ Duquesne +11.9 138.5 84% 59–103 ✓
Rider @ VCU +35.3 137.2 91% 79–100 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Boston College +16.3 139.6 90% 61–72 ✓
East Carolina @ North Carolina +24.3 140.5 90% 51–99 ✓
Davidson @ Kansas +14.4 135.0 86% 61–90 ✓
Missouri @ Illinois +7.3 150.7 72% 48–91 ✓
Alabama State @ Memphis +12.3 147.8 87% 67–88 ✓
UT Arlington @ Oral Roberts -0.8 132.5 39% 69–57 ✓
Central Michigan @ Wisconsin +22.7 150.2 91% 61–88 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Grand Canyon +23.5 153.4 90% 78–91 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Texas +26.9 139.3 91% 71–94 ✓
Utah Tech @ Creighton +18.4 144.6 88% 69–92 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Arizona +35.1 151.4 91% 71–107 ✓
Eastern Washington @ BYU +28.9 158.1 91% 81–109 ✓
UC Irvine @ Norfolk State -4.4 134.8 31% 89–70 ✓
Stetson @ Oklahoma +23.4 145.1 91% 54–107 ✓
San Diego @ Washington +18.4 149.0 89% 56–86 ✓
Sacramento State @ Cal State Northridge +4.2 152.7 73% 88–100 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Saint Mary's +11.4 131.8 80% 58–63 ✓
Green Bay @ Campbell +0.9 144.4 52% 79–102 ✓
Binghamton @ Army +10.8 141.1 86% 85–95 ✓
Bellarmine @ Kentucky +25.4 146.4 91% 85–99 ✓
Grambling @ Ohio State +18.0 147.5 89% 63–89 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UCF +13.8 157.8 84% 80–85 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri State -0.1 144.2 41% 65–70 ✗
UC Riverside @ UCLA +20.5 147.2 90% 65–97 ✓
Idaho @ Cal State Bakersfield -7.0 149.6 24% 63–64 ✗
Morgan State @ Loyola Marymount +23.7 141.8 91% 56–83 ✓
Harvard @ St. John's +19.8 139.4 90% 59–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.