This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–19 on winners spread MAE 9.7 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Colorado @ Iowa State +17.0 154.1 89% 67–97 ✓
Radford @ Charleston Southern +4.4 160.5 72% 84–75 ✗
Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate +1.0 145.7 52% 60–65 ✓
New Haven @ Mercyhurst +3.5 125.3 66% 51–70 ✓
Le Moyne @ Long Island University +5.1 142.7 72% 61–83 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Stonehill +1.7 130.6 54% 57–58 ✓
UMBC @ Vermont +5.8 140.3 70% 55–64 ✓
Stony Brook @ Campbell +2.2 148.4 65% 81–69 ✗
William & Mary @ Elon +1.0 159.9 56% 76–79 ✓
Hampton @ Drexel +3.9 131.3 65% 51–58 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Monmouth +6.0 142.8 77% 81–83 ✓
Charleston @ Hofstra +5.7 149.4 72% 66–64 ✗
VMI @ The Citadel +3.0 141.2 68% 56–80 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Mercer +13.6 156.9 88% 77–95 ✓
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +12.7 145.2 88% 90–88 ✗
James Madison @ Troy +10.9 155.7 84% 73–64 ✗
Stetson @ North Florida +0.0 158.6 62% 84–77 ✗
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +11.4 150.7 84% 64–72 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville -4.6 140.6 29% 65–70 ✗
Liberty @ Middle Tennessee +1.0 138.8 46% 81–65 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Wagner -0.7 141.6 49% 62–55 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State -0.2 133.7 52% 65–67 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Memphis +0.4 147.4 51% 65–92 ✓
Penn State @ Northwestern +9.3 147.2 78% 73–94 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota +5.9 153.2 73% 69–77 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas +11.8 151.3 86% 81–80 ✗
Georgia State @ Louisiana -1.4 129.9 37% 72–82 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama +3.8 142.9 64% 48–53 ✓
App State @ Southern Miss -0.1 132.0 54% 70–63 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona -1.5 144.7 40% 86–92 ✗
Southern Utah @ UT Arlington +11.6 140.7 86% 61–80 ✓
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -2.3 152.8 41% 83–55 ✓
Utah Tech @ Abilene Christian +0.2 142.0 51% 76–70 ✗
Lindenwood @ Southern Indiana -2.8 143.9 41% 73–60 ✓
UT Martin @ Eastern Illinois -4.6 126.0 30% 76–68 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Western Illinois -7.8 137.8 23% 78–74 ✓
Little Rock @ Tennessee State +6.2 147.6 75% 63–70 ✓
Washington @ Illinois +13.9 150.2 87% 66–75 ✓
Presbyterian @ High Point +16.2 149.9 88% 81–84 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Towson -0.7 130.9 47% 82–73 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Colorado +2.6 153.2 63% 83–91 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.4 154.7 52% 104–79 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside -0.0 146.1 49% 61–71 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge +0.1 157.0 47% 78–94 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +5.8 145.8 73% 62–48 ✗
Montana State @ Sacramento State -6.0 151.3 34% 80–83 ✗
Montana @ Portland State +4.7 143.6 69% 64–60 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Irvine -0.0 137.0 47% 76–87 ✗
Georgia Southern @ UL Monroe -11.5 157.9 21% 79–76 ✓
Princeton @ Cornell +4.4 157.0 69% 64–87 ✓
Kent State @ Akron +12.2 168.0 85% 52–69 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +9.7 157.2 81% 76–85 ✓
Siena @ Niagara -9.8 127.6 17% 82–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.