Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–14 on winners spread MAE 9.5 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
TCU @ Texas Tech +11.6 150.3 85% 73–65 ✗
Wake Forest @ Virginia +12.9 153.8 88% 70–75 ✓
Clemson @ North Carolina +6.3 142.5 76% 63–67 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +15.8 148.0 88% 69–72 ✓
Toledo @ Miami (OH) +11.7 161.1 83% 72–74 ✓
George Mason @ VCU +11.0 143.4 85% 65–70 ✓
Dayton @ Richmond -2.7 144.7 36% 65–60 ✓
Oklahoma State @ UCF +7.1 163.8 78% 111–104 ✗
Seton Hall @ Xavier -1.4 141.8 36% 77–68 ✓
Ohio @ Massachusetts +3.9 156.4 69% 82–94 ✓
Ball State @ Western Michigan +4.3 137.7 64% 74–71 ✗
Akron @ Central Michigan -12.1 155.4 15% 77–64 ✓
UAlbany @ Vermont +9.2 139.1 82% 56–69 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Elon -4.3 146.3 29% 76–57 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell +5.5 149.9 78% 72–90 ✓
Hampton @ William & Mary +11.9 148.7 86% 85–94 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +12.3 133.3 86% 51–62 ✓
Monmouth @ Northeastern -3.6 147.8 41% 89–83 ✓
Missouri @ Oklahoma +1.5 156.0 63% 64–80 ✓
Kentucky @ Texas A&M -1.1 158.2 44% 85–96 ✗
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +2.5 140.7 62% 82–77 ✗
Army @ Bucknell +1.9 145.7 60% 55–65 ✓
Mississippi State @ Florida +20.8 160.5 91% 74–108 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas State -0.3 138.6 46% 63–65 ✗
Kent State @ Northern Illinois -7.7 149.8 24% 102–76 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay +5.8 145.1 74% 56–64 ✓
UL Monroe @ Old Dominion +10.3 155.4 81% 80–87 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State -0.1 154.8 55% 78–81 ✗
BYU @ Cincinnati +0.9 150.1 57% 68–90 ✓
Southern @ Alabama State +0.1 153.9 52% 71–64 ✗
Kansas @ Arizona State -5.2 146.2 30% 60–70 ✗
Oregon @ Illinois +18.3 146.4 90% 54–80 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss -9.2 153.2 20% 89–86 ✓
Syracuse @ Louisville +14.5 158.7 88% 62–77 ✓
San José State @ Fresno State +7.9 145.3 81% 68–82 ✓
Colorado @ Utah -0.5 150.1 52% 92–78 ✓
San Diego State @ Boise State +1.1 146.6 54% 77–86 ✓
Boston College @ Virginia Tech +13.0 144.7 87% 63–72 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Air Force -17.9 139.3 13% 86–60 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State +10.6 141.7 87% 64–67 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama A&M +1.4 135.9 56% 63–77 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming +1.1 144.2 52% 73–83 ✓
LSU @ Auburn +7.2 160.7 75% 74–88 ✓
Nebraska @ UCLA -2.9 140.6 34% 52–72 ✗
Utah State @ UNLV -8.3 158.1 20% 65–92 ✗
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +0.8 142.8 56% 79–82 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +6.3 142.3 73% 58–69 ✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky +2.1 149.0 63% 92–76 ✗
Creighton @ Butler +3.9 153.2 69% 76–59 ✗
Louisiana @ James Madison +6.3 133.5 73% 72–87 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle -0.7 130.2 41% 84–87 ✗
Minnesota @ Indiana +6.3 137.0 75% 47–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.