Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | CAM -395 NCAT +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +18 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -6.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -5.5 (+12.5) | 149.9 (+12.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -6.4 (+11.6) | 148.6 (+13.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -5.7 (+12.3) | 148.5 (+13.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -5.3 (+12.7) | 150.2 (+11.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | CAM 79 – 71 NCAT |
| Feb 21, 2025 | NCAT 53 – 50 CAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CAM 66 – 62 NCAT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CAM 64 – 62 NCAT |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NCAT 76 – 62 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#205) | -6.2 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#200) | -1.11 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#198) | -1.51 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#216) | 0.446 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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