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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–18 on winners spread MAE 8.6 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tulane @ Temple +4.8 143.3 73% 60–89 ✓
Tulsa @ East Carolina -11.2 154.4 18% 93–66 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International +0.5 154.9 51% 73–67 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Liberty +9.9 137.7 79% 76–71 ✗
Sam Houston @ Delaware -7.7 150.6 21% 80–83 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate +9.6 154.4 83% 77–90 ✓
American University @ Boston University +1.7 141.7 56% 73–75 ✓
Indiana State @ Valparaiso +3.4 140.5 65% 62–63 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lehigh +4.7 144.5 72% 66–69 ✓
Bucknell @ Navy +15.2 137.7 88% 69–74 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +11.7 145.1 84% 65–76 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +7.1 128.1 74% 63–66 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Florida A&M -1.1 144.5 43% 77–81 ✗
Howard @ Norfolk State -3.9 142.7 31% 84–76 ✓
Delaware State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +5.9 129.4 74% 57–56 ✗
Michigan @ Iowa -8.9 142.3 25% 71–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan State +17.9 141.0 91% 87–91 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State +0.5 143.0 58% 65–63 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern +2.1 156.8 59% 70–59 ✗
UT Arlington @ Tarleton State +0.3 135.4 47% 65–60 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Missouri State -2.1 149.2 41% 74–87 ✗
Coppin State @ Morgan State +6.9 148.9 82% 66–70 ✓
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah -10.8 147.0 16% 92–88 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State +9.5 145.7 85% 77–85 ✓
Manhattan @ Fairfield +5.4 144.5 70% 60–71 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State +6.6 161.2 77% 80–77 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State -0.2 148.4 55% 83–48 ✓
Kennesaw State @ UTEP -2.1 146.5 41% 71–78 ✗
Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State +4.4 143.1 71% 75–77 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland +1.9 146.5 53% 68–77 ✓
South Florida @ Memphis -5.9 157.8 23% 96–89 ✓
Southern @ Alabama A&M +0.9 149.1 52% 88–85 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield -6.9 161.1 25% 86–84 ✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas +4.8 148.7 75% 67–80 ✓
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +15.3 129.7 88% 59–68 ✓
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +2.1 145.3 59% 66–68 ✓
UC Davis @ Long Beach State -3.3 150.0 39% 76–70 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +9.6 146.9 83% 85–107 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton -2.3 151.3 36% 71–75 ✗
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +9.4 134.4 81% 48–87 ✓
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +4.0 143.9 68% 66–62 ✗
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i +11.9 145.7 86% 74–93 ✓
Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas +7.1 150.7 76% 73–86 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ High Point +23.2 152.8 90% 59–81 ✓
Drake @ Belmont +10.8 150.2 84% 100–79 ✗
Northeastern @ North Carolina A&T +0.4 150.3 48% 88–72 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +6.5 162.5 75% 81–86 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +3.3 148.0 64% 77–53 ✗
UIC @ Murray State -1.1 149.3 46% 92–79 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +4.9 141.9 63% 88–85 ✗
Stetson @ Austin Peay +8.5 147.4 80% 60–69 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Akron +24.3 150.9 91% 55–94 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +1.4 140.8 52% 82–85 ✓
Southern Miss @ Texas State -1.5 140.9 43% 81–77 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +5.2 138.1 69% 48–70 ✓
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan -1.5 140.1 44% 77–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.