Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -440 LT +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -11.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -9.5 (-14.5) | 135.8 (+11.2) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -9.7 (-14.7) | 136.8 (+10.2) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -9.9 (-14.9) | 136.9 (+10.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -9.9 (-14.9) | 137.7 (+9.3) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | LIB 72 – 56 LT |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIB 77 – 53 LT |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LT 79 – 74 LIB |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LIB 65 – 62 LT |
| Jan 14, 2024 | LT 80 – 76 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 11-3 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#114) | -4.6 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#69) | -0.45 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#83) | -0.78 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#33) | 0.475 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 27.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.2 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.