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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–3 on winners
spread MAE 5.7
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VCU
@
Illinois
|
+8.4 | 150.3 | 70% | 55–76 | ✓ |
Liberty
@
Nevada
|
+9.5 | 147.8 | 77% | 63–73 | ✓ |
Vanderbilt
@
Nebraska
|
-1.5 | 143.8 | 43% | 72–74 | ✗ |
High Point
@
Arkansas
|
+9.1 | 165.6 | 81% | 88–94 | ✓ |
Miami
@
Purdue
|
+5.4 | 146.1 | 71% | 69–79 | ✓ |
Kentucky
@
Iowa State
|
+6.4 | 145.9 | 75% | 63–82 | ✓ |
Illinois State
@
Wake Forest
|
+6.6 | 144.5 | 70% | 78–75 | ✗ |
St. John's
@
Kansas
|
-1.9 | 141.8 | 33% | 67–65 | ✓ |
Tennessee
@
Virginia
|
-0.0 | 139.9 | 46% | 79–72 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Auburn
|
+12.2 | 142.9 | 83% | 85–91 | ✓ |
UNLV
@
Tulsa
|
+10.4 | 162.1 | 77% | 66–77 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Florida
|
+6.5 | 141.4 | 75% | 73–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.