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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 12.5
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hofstra
@
Norfolk State
|
+9.6 | 136.0 | 80% | 80–67 | ✗ |
Charleston Southern
@
South Carolina State
|
+3.9 | 142.2 | 65% | 63–82 | ✓ |
Pennsylvania
@
VCU
|
+25.4 | 135.2 | 91% | 47–66 | ✓ |
Abilene Christian
@
Baylor
|
+19.4 | 150.7 | 89% | 57–88 | ✓ |
Miami
@
Tennessee
|
+16.7 | 143.7 | 87% | 62–75 | ✓ |
North Dakota State
@
Butler
|
+12.6 | 146.1 | 82% | 71–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.