Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–8 on winners spread MAE 10.4 24 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Incarnate Word @ Duke +30.5 140.3 90% 46–72 ✓
Coppin State @ NC State +27.8 136.3 91% 56–66 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida Atlantic +10.7 156.1 80% 63–85 ✓
Charlotte @ Davidson +10.6 144.7 81% 71–75 ✓
Monmouth @ Princeton +13.3 146.1 87% 67–71 ✓
Penn State @ Rutgers -6.2 157.6 36% 76–80 ✗
Rhode Island @ Brown -2.4 147.1 46% 80–84 ✗
Morgan State @ Xavier +18.9 149.3 90% 58–119 ✓
North Carolina Central @ West Virginia +21.6 147.5 90% 45–79 ✓
UAlbany @ Syracuse +6.9 150.3 76% 85–102 ✓
Charleston @ Saint Joseph's +7.5 150.2 76% 78–75 ✗
Troy @ Houston +20.2 136.3 90% 42–62 ✓
Tennessee State @ Western Kentucky +15.4 153.3 87% 60–84 ✓
Wyoming @ South Dakota +4.0 153.9 64% 81–82 ✓
Southern Miss @ Tulane +4.4 147.1 68% 58–86 ✓
Providence @ DePaul +6.4 137.4 77% 70–63 ✗
Michigan @ Arkansas -0.6 144.4 46% 87–89 ✗
Wisconsin @ Illinois +9.8 152.6 84% 80–86 ✓
Kansas City @ Portland +3.5 139.7 49% 69–64 ✗
Cornell @ California +5.9 158.6 71% 88–80 ✗
Long Beach State @ San Diego +2.9 132.8 56% 76–70 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Washington +7.2 142.8 77% 69–87 ✓
Norfolk State @ Baylor +18.4 149.6 89% 69–94 ✓
Long Island University @ UMass Lowell +10.6 149.7 83% 62–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.