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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–10 on winners spread MAE 7.5 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Florida State -1.6 155.0 46% 96–85 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M +14.6 135.3 88% 56–64 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State +1.2 144.2 55% 70–68 ✗
Bellarmine @ Stetson +0.5 153.5 57% 67–69 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ McNeese +14.2 142.5 88% 65–100 ✓
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana +5.0 135.5 71% 72–69 ✗
Northeastern @ Monmouth -0.4 141.4 50% 73–78 ✗
Queens University @ West Georgia -5.6 151.8 28% 72–57 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +6.6 155.2 77% 82–86 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville +1.8 149.4 59% 55–59 ✓
Lipscomb @ Austin Peay -6.7 142.7 21% 95–78 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +3.4 145.5 67% 69–71 ✓
East Texas A&M @ LSU New Orleans +0.6 141.9 49% 73–71 ✗
Lamar @ Incarnate Word -0.5 132.5 55% 61–73 ✗
North Alabama @ Central Arkansas -10.5 150.4 16% 93–70 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State +3.0 153.6 68% 84–86 ✓
Michigan @ Nebraska -0.9 148.9 47% 49–46 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern +14.6 148.9 88% 56–81 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +12.9 155.4 88% 60–69 ✓
South Carolina State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -13.8 141.4 13% 81–68 ✓
Howard @ Coppin State -7.4 143.8 25% 61–72 ✗
Florida A&M @ Alabama A&M -3.3 142.8 40% 66–77 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Houston Christian -0.1 133.0 49% 56–72 ✗
Houston @ Texas Tech +1.1 136.8 42% 69–61 ✗
Kansas @ Colorado -6.3 141.2 29% 71–64 ✓
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan +3.2 149.9 66% 65–60 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.