I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–12 on winners spread MAE 10.1 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Miami -19.7 152.8 13% 97–60 ✓
Florida @ Georgia -4.9 146.1 41% 83–88 ✗
Providence @ Marquette +12.6 147.2 87% 52–82 ✓
Army @ Lafayette +2.0 141.4 65% 65–81 ✓
Baylor @ Cincinnati +1.4 142.2 56% 67–69 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh +10.6 145.3 84% 73–67 ✗
VCU @ Richmond -13.2 137.0 13% 78–60 ✓
Saint Louis @ Davidson +1.8 143.0 61% 57–56 ✗
Northwestern @ Minnesota +0.4 134.3 48% 75–63 ✗
Old Dominion @ Marshall +9.7 146.6 83% 66–83 ✓
App State @ Georgia Southern -2.3 136.6 43% 59–61 ✗
Toledo @ Kent State +5.8 146.6 76% 65–105 ✓
Ohio @ Western Michigan -4.5 152.3 31% 73–82 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) +13.1 150.2 86% 58–87 ✓
Buffalo @ Central Michigan +12.8 149.6 87% 69–73 ✓
Akron @ Ball State -5.5 155.2 31% 87–82 ✓
James Madison @ UL Monroe -10.7 144.3 16% 85–79 ✓
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State -10.7 150.4 18% 68–74 ✗
Indiana State @ Murray State +5.8 151.7 73% 75–85 ✓
Illinois State @ Southern Illinois -0.2 145.9 46% 79–88 ✗
Troy @ Texas State -2.1 141.5 43% 74–69 ✓
Lindenwood @ Western Illinois -0.1 142.7 45% 81–86 ✗
Tennessee @ LSU -6.8 136.2 21% 65–59 ✓
Mississippi State @ Alabama +9.5 171.1 78% 73–111 ✓
Washington @ Wisconsin +14.1 155.2 89% 62–88 ✓
South Carolina @ Missouri +12.3 149.6 88% 71–101 ✓
Louisville @ Virginia Tech -10.3 143.5 17% 71–66 ✓
TCU @ West Virginia +5.9 131.3 68% 55–73 ✓
Colorado State @ Air Force -13.1 136.2 14% 77–55 ✓
Iowa @ Illinois +11.0 169.3 84% 61–81 ✓
UNLV @ San José State -2.6 139.1 36% 77–71 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada +11.6 135.9 88% 61–84 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +1.7 141.9 63% 65–73 ✓
Gonzaga @ Santa Clara -2.0 161.8 35% 95–76 ✓
Boston University @ Lehigh +2.0 132.7 57% 79–68 ✗
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +9.8 142.0 83% 58–59 ✓
Michigan State @ Maryland +5.6 150.7 69% 58–55 ✗
Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville +4.7 149.2 69% 64–59 ✗
Duquesne @ La Salle -1.9 137.9 34% 67–62 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +9.9 141.9 81% 79–93 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.