I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–5 on winners spread MAE 6.0 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Alabama @ Bradley +6.8 144.3 75% 62–71 ✓
Furman @ North Texas +9.0 132.6 76% 64–75 ✓
Northern Iowa @ SMU +10.7 140.3 82% 63–73 ✓
Xavier @ Texas -0.2 151.3 52% 86–80 ✓
Northern Colorado @ UC Irvine +10.2 150.0 82% 72–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ San Francisco +8.6 142.5 76% 70–79 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ San José State +0.0 140.2 43% 73–70 ✗
Creighton @ Louisville +2.3 143.5 61% 89–75 ✗
High Point @ Purdue +8.5 150.3 77% 63–75 ✓
Montana @ Wisconsin +13.6 147.3 87% 66–85 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Houston +21.3 129.9 89% 40–78 ✓
Alabama State @ Auburn +21.1 145.4 88% 63–83 ✓
McNeese @ Clemson +5.2 133.6 64% 69–67 ✗
VCU @ BYU +2.1 142.9 57% 71–80 ✓
Georgia @ Gonzaga +4.9 149.9 64% 68–89 ✓
Wofford @ Tennessee +14.9 136.3 89% 62–77 ✓
Arkansas @ Kansas +2.6 145.7 59% 79–72 ✗
Yale @ Texas A&M +7.3 142.7 77% 71–80 ✓
Drake @ Missouri +5.0 132.8 67% 67–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.