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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.2
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Citadel
@
Davidson
|
+21.3 | 145.7 | 91% | 63–79 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
South Florida
|
+0.6 | 157.4 | 63% | 61–74 | ✓ |
Rider
@
Merrimack
|
+13.5 | 134.1 | 89% | 66–68 | ✓ |
Robert Morris
@
Green Bay
|
+1.0 | 139.9 | 57% | 80–78 | ✗ |
Long Beach State
@
UC Santa Barbara
|
+8.6 | 147.9 | 78% | 77–84 | ✓ |
Cal State Bakersfield
@
Cal State Northridge
|
+2.1 | 148.7 | 61% | 66–87 | ✓ |
Cal Poly
@
Cal State Fullerton
|
+3.4 | 164.0 | 69% | 94–91 | ✗ |
UC Riverside
@
UC Irvine
|
+8.1 | 133.5 | 77% | 60–73 | ✓ |
UC Davis
@
Hawai'i
|
+6.5 | 138.2 | 76% | 69–75 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.