I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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61–35 on winners spread MAE 9.9 96 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gonzaga @ Kentucky -3.1 150.1 38% 94–59 ✓
South Carolina State @ Bethune-Cookman +13.3 145.0 89% 59–80 ✓
NJIT @ High Point +25.8 151.5 91% 72–89 ✓
South Alabama @ East Tennessee State +7.0 143.0 78% 65–91 ✓
Samford @ VCU +21.6 147.8 90% 57–83 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Iona +5.6 157.4 74% 89–68 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Lafayette -2.4 128.1 36% 71–79 ✗
Bryant @ Brown +5.7 125.7 66% 56–75 ✓
Niagara @ Siena +12.3 127.6 84% 54–83 ✓
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +2.5 131.8 67% 57–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist +15.0 132.2 85% 56–64 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan -2.2 156.2 39% 66–70 ✗
East Texas A&M @ UConn +27.7 137.7 90% 59–83 ✓
UAB @ Drake +5.7 143.9 71% 74–69 ✗
Cincinnati @ Xavier +6.1 138.2 74% 74–79 ✓
Northwestern State @ McNeese +20.4 144.5 90% 54–92 ✓
Notre Dame @ TCU +10.4 137.2 80% 87–85 ✗
San Diego @ San José State +5.3 136.4 67% 69–86 ✓
Iowa State @ Purdue +4.8 152.6 71% 81–58 ✗
Duke @ Michigan State +2.6 134.8 48% 66–60 ✗
Monmouth @ Georgia Tech +5.4 142.1 69% 67–79 ✓
New Haven @ Boston College +11.7 123.2 82% 63–67 ✓
Rhode Island @ Providence +3.8 154.0 59% 71–90 ✓
Dayton @ Virginia +4.0 149.8 70% 73–86 ✓
Southern Miss @ Miami +17.0 147.5 88% 64–88 ✓
UMBC @ Bucknell +1.6 142.4 50% 73–66 ✗
Old Dominion @ Richmond +16.7 149.8 87% 77–86 ✓
Utah Valley @ Bowling Green +6.0 142.5 73% 82–71 ✗
Maine @ Miami (OH) +15.0 133.3 86% 61–93 ✓
UNC Asheville @ NC State +18.8 154.6 88% 63–75 ✓
Drexel @ La Salle +3.1 132.4 60% 64–69 ✓
Western Michigan @ SIU Edwardsville +8.5 137.6 78% 83–73 ✗
Norfolk State @ James Madison +4.4 133.9 75% 67–68 ✓
Delaware @ Delaware State -2.7 128.8 27% 72–75 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Winthrop +15.0 147.1 87% 88–84 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Gardner-Webb -6.4 151.0 20% 88–84 ✓
Morehead State @ Presbyterian +4.9 129.4 63% 72–80 ✓
Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate +8.8 146.4 80% 67–78 ✓
Ohio State @ Northwestern +2.6 146.5 59% 86–82 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ West Georgia +6.0 149.2 75% 87–59 ✗
Stetson @ South Carolina +19.4 144.4 90% 51–82 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida International +3.7 140.4 67% 65–88 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ American University +10.5 129.9 79% 60–78 ✓
Marquette @ Wisconsin +14.6 154.2 86% 76–96 ✓
Coppin State @ Liberty +24.8 148.2 91% 50–92 ✓
Boise State @ Butler +9.9 140.3 82% 77–68 ✗
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -4.0 159.5 50% 78–55 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +0.1 155.0 53% 71–59 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne -2.7 151.6 42% 77–79 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Buffalo +3.9 141.1 66% 77–69 ✗
Stony Brook @ Duquesne +3.7 150.9 68% 75–84 ✓
Holy Cross @ Fordham +5.9 129.3 66% 70–69 ✗
Harvard @ Furman +5.6 139.9 71% 69–79 ✓
Indiana @ Louisville +0.6 149.6 58% 78–87 ✓
Princeton @ Loyola Chicago -0.0 133.1 42% 68–73 ✗
Georgia State @ Kennesaw State +13.4 151.6 86% 69–92 ✓
Idaho @ South Dakota State +4.6 140.3 69% 84–81 ✗
Toledo @ Oakland +7.0 158.8 75% 97–98 ✓
Missouri State @ Tulsa +19.9 143.6 90% 74–98 ✓
Bellarmine @ Murray State +18.3 156.6 88% 68–81 ✓
George Mason @ Virginia Tech +3.2 145.9 66% 62–73 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan +28.7 144.2 91% 60–101 ✓
Fresno State @ Arkansas +18.3 150.0 87% 58–82 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ North Carolina Central -0.4 140.6 39% 69–54 ✓
Elon @ Wofford +4.5 161.8 72% 73–52 ✗
Marshall @ Ohio -0.1 150.0 53% 81–88 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Massachusetts +12.9 148.0 86% 60–80 ✓
Maryland @ Iowa +16.1 143.1 86% 64–83 ✓
Dartmouth @ Wyoming +23.6 148.9 89% 80–93 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Louisiana -12.6 129.0 16% 70–63 ✓
New Mexico State @ Abilene Christian -2.0 130.8 39% 69–77 ✗
Evansville @ Western Kentucky +17.9 148.2 88% 79–80 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ East Carolina +4.2 142.3 63% 82–78 ✗
Le Moyne @ Binghamton -0.4 148.1 49% 78–63 ✓
Akron @ Tulane -9.4 167.7 21% 88–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ Kansas State +2.8 141.8 57% 78–67 ✗
Longwood @ Morgan State +0.7 150.3 55% 84–80 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Nicholls -1.3 145.9 49% 67–74 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Temple +3.9 148.4 63% 70–69 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Chattanooga +1.7 147.7 57% 74–70 ✗
Baylor @ Memphis +0.5 154.1 49% 71–78 ✓
Omaha @ Portland State +11.6 150.8 84% 60–55 ✗
Vermont @ Pepperdine +0.5 146.7 52% 65–56 ✗
Southern Utah @ Oregon State +12.2 144.9 87% 70–81 ✓
Kansas City @ Eastern Washington +7.0 145.7 72% 66–90 ✓
Sam Houston @ Texas Southern -11.2 158.9 16% 82–70 ✓
Colorado @ Colorado State +4.7 150.6 73% 86–91 ✓
Pacific @ California +7.0 138.5 71% 61–67 ✓
Long Island University @ Lehigh +1.5 145.1 57% 87–82 ✗
UAlbany @ Columbia +19.7 142.4 90% 65–93 ✓
Washington @ USC +7.5 153.5 74% 84–76 ✗
Oregon @ UCLA +13.5 144.1 87% 63–74 ✓
Denver @ Idaho State +12.1 144.7 86% 79–93 ✓
Wake Forest @ West Virginia -1.8 137.2 44% 75–66 ✓
William & Mary @ George Washington +7.7 159.0 75% 86–99 ✓
Houston Christian @ LSU New Orleans +6.0 139.9 69% 85–76 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.