They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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8–1 on winners spread MAE 10.4 9 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina State @ Charleston Southern +13.7 146.3 89% 44–84 ✓
Grambling @ Southern Miss +8.9 143.0 79% 60–68 ✓
Southern @ Texas +17.9 159.6 88% 69–95 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Kansas State +27.5 155.8 91% 49–108 ✓
Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans +1.7 149.1 57% 83–84 ✓
Buffalo @ UMBC +1.3 143.5 58% 83–79 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ VMI +1.8 145.4 47% 70–86 ✓
Villanova @ Michigan +22.3 148.3 90% 61–89 ✓
Clemson @ BYU +2.2 151.7 56% 64–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.