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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–4 on winners spread MAE 8.0 23 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia +30.3 134.2 90% 60–84 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Kentucky +34.6 140.4 91% 67–103 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Howard -4.4 140.4 32% 69–73 ✗
Coppin State @ Saint Joseph's +15.5 144.3 89% 65–87 ✓
South Dakota State @ Ball State -5.4 133.9 24% 68–64 ✓
Little Rock @ West Virginia +24.0 131.3 91% 58–90 ✓
Columbia @ Stony Brook -2.4 144.9 41% 73–77 ✗
McNeese @ Rhode Island +2.0 141.2 60% 66–64 ✗
Bucknell @ Rider -0.6 135.2 34% 51–38 ✓
Illinois @ Ohio State -0.1 151.5 55% 88–80 ✓
Brown @ Providence +14.6 146.8 86% 79–86 ✓
Morgan State @ DePaul +15.6 146.6 87% 49–92 ✓
Penn State @ Indiana +12.3 149.9 84% 72–113 ✓
South Dakota @ Wyoming +20.1 153.2 89% 79–106 ✓
USC @ San Diego -9.5 156.2 18% 94–81 ✓
Dartmouth @ Colorado State +18.5 151.6 89% 55–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Arizona State +13.9 146.6 86% 48–73 ✓
Florida @ UConn +3.4 138.6 57% 73–77 ✓
Long Beach State @ San José State +7.2 136.0 74% 83–89 ✓
Norfolk State @ Baylor +13.7 142.5 86% 67–97 ✓
UAlbany @ Yale +19.7 143.3 88% 82–93 ✓
Merrimack @ Princeton +3.0 132.6 64% 59–56 ✗
Miami (OH) @ UNC Asheville -1.3 149.9 45% 90–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.