Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–17 on winners spread MAE 8.4 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Butler @ St. John's +9.9 156.1 84% 70–92 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +0.3 130.3 42% 50–65 ✓
Bucknell @ Lafayette +3.2 137.8 59% 79–81 ✓
La Salle @ Fordham +2.4 129.1 56% 58–64 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne +4.4 152.6 66% 87–79 ✗
Davidson @ George Mason +7.6 135.7 78% 52–60 ✓
Rice @ East Carolina -0.2 140.4 45% 83–77 ✓
Charlotte @ Temple +2.7 139.0 65% 80–76 ✗
USC @ Iowa +9.3 142.0 81% 72–73 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +9.7 142.4 83% 74–79 ✓
California @ Florida State -1.4 148.5 38% 61–63 ✗
American University @ Loyola Maryland -4.6 141.5 32% 68–77 ✗
Navy @ Boston University -3.8 140.8 36% 58–50 ✓
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne -1.3 158.5 48% 74–65 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Robert Morris +9.4 164.0 84% 58–74 ✓
Mississippi State @ LSU +9.9 150.2 84% 80–66 ✗
Tennessee @ Georgia +3.7 160.1 74% 86–85 ✗
Texas @ Auburn +5.4 155.7 76% 82–88 ✓
West Georgia @ Bellarmine +3.8 151.9 69% 74–77 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Queens University +3.2 153.3 65% 100–90 ✗
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky -3.5 145.9 32% 90–82 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Florida International +3.7 141.6 65% 78–74 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Kennesaw State +2.4 154.8 60% 69–72 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +10.1 140.7 85% 78–82 ✓
Xavier @ Seton Hall +6.2 136.4 72% 68–86 ✓
Belmont @ Valparaiso -4.9 140.1 30% 78–77 ✓
North Texas @ Tulsa +11.9 139.2 84% 66–82 ✓
UAB @ UTSA -12.6 147.0 15% 83–73 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City -5.4 155.1 27% 69–61 ✓
South Dakota State @ Omaha -1.5 145.5 44% 71–80 ✗
Marshall @ Texas State -5.9 146.8 26% 68–72 ✗
Old Dominion @ Arkansas State +6.9 154.9 75% 75–71 ✗
Sam Houston @ Missouri State -2.5 147.7 36% 80–71 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown +2.2 137.7 60% 61–70 ✓
Florida @ South Carolina -7.6 148.3 25% 95–48 ✓
Wyoming @ Utah State +10.4 145.3 85% 62–94 ✓
Illinois State @ Murray State +2.9 153.2 61% 70–65 ✗
San Diego @ Pepperdine -1.2 144.4 45% 92–88 ✓
South Florida @ Tulane -7.5 154.9 21% 97–83 ✓
Minnesota @ Wisconsin +8.6 143.8 79% 63–67 ✓
Stanford @ Miami +9.5 146.8 83% 70–79 ✓
Delaware @ New Mexico State +10.7 136.5 86% 73–64 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP +1.0 127.1 48% 69–59 ✗
Houston @ TCU -3.6 136.4 35% 79–70 ✓
Seattle U @ Washington State +0.4 139.3 48% 58–70 ✓
Portland @ Pacific +7.4 144.0 77% 51–74 ✓
Oregon State @ Loyola Marymount +4.2 139.9 69% 72–69 ✗
Colorado State @ San Diego State +7.0 139.5 80% 50–73 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara +10.7 148.0 85% 73–88 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon -4.1 135.3 34% 73–57 ✓
Samford @ Furman +7.5 143.9 78% 73–78 ✓
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +4.7 140.0 68% 61–66 ✓
Bryant @ Binghamton -2.8 130.6 33% 60–63 ✗
Wofford @ Chattanooga -0.7 147.5 42% 81–55 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville +18.2 144.3 91% 50–69 ✓
NJIT @ UAlbany +4.2 137.4 67% 77–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.