← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 11.4
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hofstra
@
Norfolk State
|
+8.2 | 135.0 | 79% | 80–67 | ✗ |
Charleston Southern
@
South Carolina State
|
+4.0 | 141.7 | 63% | 63–82 | ✓ |
Pennsylvania
@
VCU
|
+23.4 | 136.1 | 91% | 47–66 | ✓ |
Abilene Christian
@
Baylor
|
+20.0 | 149.2 | 89% | 57–88 | ✓ |
Miami
@
Tennessee
|
+14.9 | 145.1 | 87% | 62–75 | ✓ |
North Dakota State
@
Butler
|
+12.0 | 143.7 | 84% | 71–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.