Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–8 on winners spread MAE 10.2 24 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Incarnate Word @ Duke +24.0 140.0 91% 46–72 ✓
Coppin State @ NC State +22.9 134.5 91% 56–66 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida Atlantic +10.0 155.3 81% 63–85 ✓
Charlotte @ Davidson +9.4 144.1 82% 71–75 ✓
Monmouth @ Princeton +12.1 146.7 87% 67–71 ✓
Penn State @ Rutgers -5.8 158.2 30% 76–80 ✗
Rhode Island @ Brown -1.2 145.0 39% 80–84 ✗
Morgan State @ Xavier +15.8 150.8 90% 58–119 ✓
North Carolina Central @ West Virginia +19.2 145.2 91% 45–79 ✓
UAlbany @ Syracuse +6.4 150.8 75% 85–102 ✓
Charleston @ Saint Joseph's +6.5 148.4 73% 78–75 ✗
Troy @ Houston +19.0 134.0 90% 42–62 ✓
Tennessee State @ Western Kentucky +14.9 154.2 88% 60–84 ✓
Wyoming @ South Dakota +3.5 152.3 67% 81–82 ✓
Southern Miss @ Tulane +4.6 145.4 66% 58–86 ✓
Providence @ DePaul +6.5 136.9 77% 70–63 ✗
Michigan @ Arkansas -1.1 142.0 43% 87–89 ✗
Wisconsin @ Illinois +10.5 153.8 84% 80–86 ✓
Kansas City @ Portland +3.6 140.3 60% 69–64 ✗
Cornell @ California +5.7 158.2 73% 88–80 ✗
Long Beach State @ San Diego +2.4 132.5 59% 76–70 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Washington +6.4 142.3 75% 69–87 ✓
Norfolk State @ Baylor +17.7 148.6 89% 69–94 ✓
Long Island University @ UMass Lowell +10.5 148.0 84% 62–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.