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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.7
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Middle Tennessee
@
Tennessee
|
+21.3 | 139.0 | 91% | 64–82 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Oakland
|
-13.1 | 130.6 | 13% | 80–74 | ✓ |
Cal State Bakersfield
@
North Dakota State
|
+13.7 | 142.8 | 87% | 60–94 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Washington
|
+7.1 | 143.8 | 77% | 79–70 | ✗ |
Nebraska
@
Hawai'i
|
-4.9 | 140.8 | 30% | 69–55 | ✓ |
Murray State
@
Charlotte
|
-4.6 | 135.4 | 33% | 90–94 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.